Trump's Tariffs and DOGE Will Set Off a Crime Wave | Opinion

Newsweek - Apr 8th, 2025
Open on Newsweek

Donald Trump's administration is facing criticism for its economic policies, particularly the implementation of widespread tariffs that are likened to a national sales tax. These tariffs have caused market instability and are increasing the cost of everyday necessities, disproportionately affecting low- and middle-income families. Alongside these economic measures, the administration has enacted mass layoffs in the public sector and deep cuts in essential services, which are predicted to lead to rising unemployment and a potential surge in crime. The impact is seen in the shrinking 401(k)s of Americans and an anticipated increase in poverty-driven desperation, reminiscent of the social unrest and crime spikes during Trump's first term.

The broader implications of Trump's policies suggest a return to what critics deem as failed strategies, prioritizing tax breaks for the wealthy and reducing social safety nets. Historical evidence indicates that economic hardship correlates with increased crime rates, as seen in the 30 percent spike in homicides in 2020. In contrast, recent years have seen declines in crime due to investments in housing, healthcare, and education. Prosecutors and law enforcement officials warn that reduced local funding and increased poverty will strain public safety systems, making it harder to maintain community safety. Critics argue that Trump's approach will exacerbate social inequalities and lead to a decline in public trust and safety, affecting working families the most across America.

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RATING

5.0
Moderately Fair
Read with skepticism

The article presents a critical view of Donald Trump's policies, particularly focusing on the potential negative impacts of tariffs and budget cuts on public safety and economic stability. While the piece is timely and addresses issues of significant public interest, it lacks balance and source quality, as it does not provide specific data or cite authoritative sources to support its claims. The clarity and readability of the article are strong, but its engagement potential is limited by its one-sided approach. The story is likely to provoke debate and influence public opinion, but it would benefit from more balanced perspectives and detailed evidence to enhance its credibility and impact.

RATING DETAILS

6
Accuracy

The story makes several claims about the economic and social impacts of Donald Trump's policies, particularly tariffs, which are generally supported by economic theories that tariffs can raise consumer prices and act like a sales tax. However, the story lacks specific data or sources to substantiate these claims fully. For instance, the claim that Trump's tariffs will function like a national sales tax is plausible but requires more concrete evidence or expert analysis to be entirely accurate. Similarly, assertions about mass public sector layoffs and deep cuts in funding for essential services are made without specific figures or sourcing, making it challenging to verify their accuracy. While the article discusses the increase in homicides during 2020, which aligns with FBI data, it does not provide specific crime statistics for 2024, which weakens the accuracy of its claims about crime trends. Overall, the story contains elements that are likely accurate but lacks the detailed evidence needed for full verification.

4
Balance

The article presents a predominantly negative view of Donald Trump's policies, particularly focusing on their potential adverse effects. It lacks balance by not providing counterarguments or perspectives from those who might support Trump's economic strategies. The piece does not explore any potential benefits of tariffs or economic policies, such as protecting domestic industries or creating jobs, which are arguments often made by proponents. Additionally, the article does not include voices from economists or policymakers who could provide a more nuanced discussion of the potential impacts of tariffs and budget cuts. This lack of balance limits the reader's ability to understand the full scope of the debate surrounding these policies.

7
Clarity

The article is generally clear in its language and structure, presenting its arguments in a straightforward manner. The writing is accessible, and the points are articulated in a way that is easy for readers to follow. However, the piece could benefit from more precise definitions and explanations of economic concepts, such as how tariffs function as a sales tax, to enhance comprehension. While the tone is critical, it is consistent throughout, which aids in maintaining clarity. Overall, the article is readable, but additional context and explanation would improve its clarity.

3
Source quality

The article does not cite specific sources or studies to support its claims, which undermines its credibility. The lack of direct quotes or references to economic data, expert opinions, or government reports means readers are unable to assess the reliability of the information presented. The article relies heavily on the author's interpretation and opinion, rather than evidence-based analysis. Without authoritative sources, such as economic reports or expert testimony, the story's reliability is compromised, and its claims remain largely unsubstantiated.

5
Transparency

The article lacks transparency in terms of disclosing the basis for its claims. It does not explain the methodology or data sources that inform its assertions about economic impacts and crime trends. The author's background as a criminal justice reform expert is mentioned, which provides some context for her perspective, but the lack of detailed evidence or acknowledgment of potential biases limits the transparency of the piece. Readers are left without a clear understanding of how the conclusions were drawn or what evidence supports them, which affects the article's overall transparency.

Sources

  1. https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-trade-war/
  2. https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/liz-peek-trumps-tariff-battles-just-bump-road-make-mess-everything
  3. https://budgetlab.yale.edu/research/where-we-stand-fiscal-economic-and-distributional-effects-all-us-tariffs-enacted-2025-through-april
  4. https://fortune.com/2025/04/07/trump-tariffs-doge-cuts-mark-cuban-2008-economic-crash/
  5. https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/