Donald Trump Among 2028 Presidential Favorites Despite Two-Term Limit

Newsweek - Mar 22nd, 2025

President Donald Trump is being touted as the second favorite to win the 2028 presidential election, according to odds provided by bookmaker William Hill, despite being constitutionally barred from running for a third term. Trump has been given 5/1 odds, trailing Vice President JD Vance, who leads with 5/2 odds. The speculation about Trump running again is fueled by his allies, including Steve Bannon, despite political experts dismissing the likelihood of a constitutional amendment repealing the two-term limit as a 'MAGA fantasy.'

The 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two terms, presents a significant legal obstacle to any potential third-term bid by Trump. Changing this amendment would require substantial bipartisan support, a daunting task given the current political landscape. Experts argue that the suggestion of a third term is more a strategic maneuver to bolster Trump's influence within the GOP and keep his political capital alive. The story highlights ongoing debates about Trump's political future and the potential consequences of attempting to amend the constitution, which could also pave the way for former presidents like Obama to seek another term.

Donald Trump Maga Jd Vance 2028 Presidential Election Steve Bannon 22nd Amendment William Hill Odds

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RATING

6.4

Moderately Fair

Read with skepticism

The article provides an intriguing look at the speculative odds of Donald Trump running for a third presidential term in 2028. It balances factual reporting with speculative content, drawing on bookmaker odds and expert opinions. While the story is timely and engages with significant public interest topics, its speculative nature and reliance on bookmaker odds may limit its impact and perceived accuracy. The article is clear and well-structured, making it accessible to a general audience, but it could benefit from greater transparency and a broader range of authoritative sources to enhance its credibility. Overall, the story effectively captures attention and provokes discussion, but readers should be mindful of the speculative elements and the challenges of constitutional amendments when interpreting the claims presented.

Accuracy

The story presents several factual claims that are mostly accurate, such as Donald Trump's ineligibility for a third term due to the 22nd Amendment and the odds provided by William Hill regarding the 2028 election. However, some areas require further verification, such as the specific odds from William Hill and the feasibility of repealing the 22nd Amendment. The story accurately references the 22nd Amendment's limitations and Trump's past electoral history, but the claim about the odds of repealing the amendment seems speculative and requires more concrete evidence.

Balance

The article provides a range of perspectives, including those of bookmakers, political scientists, and Trump allies. However, it leans slightly towards highlighting Trump's potential candidacy and the associated odds, without equally emphasizing the constitutional and political challenges that make such a scenario unlikely. The inclusion of expert opinions questioning the feasibility of a third term adds some balance, but the focus on odds and speculation could create an impression of greater possibility than exists.

Clarity

The article is generally clear and well-structured, with a logical flow of information. It effectively outlines the main points and claims, making it easy for readers to follow the narrative. The language is straightforward and neutral, which aids in comprehension. However, some sections discussing the odds and constitutional implications could benefit from more detailed explanations to enhance clarity.

Source quality

The story cites credible sources such as William Hill for betting odds and Newsweek for expert opinions. However, it lacks a broader range of authoritative sources that could provide additional context or counterpoints, such as legal experts or constitutional scholars. The reliance on a bookmaker for political predictions, while interesting, may not offer the most reliable basis for serious political analysis.

Transparency

The article does not clearly disclose its methodology for selecting the odds or the rationale behind the bookmaker's predictions. The lack of detailed explanation about how odds are determined or the potential biases of the sources used affects transparency. Additionally, the article does not disclose any potential conflicts of interest that may influence the presentation of information.