What a 1970s toilet paper shortage teaches us about our fear of flying | CNN Business

Recent incidents, such as the deadly crash near Reagan National Airport, have intensified public perception of airline safety concerns despite statistical evidence indicating that air travel remains as safe as ever. An AP-NORC Center poll shows a decline in the percentage of Americans who believe flying is safe, dropping from 71% in 2024 to 64% in early 2025. Simultaneously, Google searches for 'is flying safe' are at their second-highest level since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. These fears, although largely unfounded in data, may influence travel behaviors, echoing past events like the post-9/11 decline in air travel and the subsequent rise in car fatalities.
The phenomenon of public perception outpacing reality is not new. Historical examples include the 'Summer of the Shark' in 2001, where media hype about shark attacks created undue fear despite a decrease in actual incidents, and the 1973 toilet paper shortage rumor fueled by Johnny Carson, which led to panic buying. Similarly, concerns over unidentified drones in New Jersey last fall were based on unverified sightings. These cases underscore the potential for media and public perception to amplify fears beyond factual evidence, suggesting that current airline safety concerns could be similarly misplaced.
RATING
The article effectively addresses a timely and relevant issue by examining the divergence between public perception and reality regarding airline safety. It uses historical examples and relatable anecdotes to engage readers and prompt reflection on their perceptions. However, the article's impact and credibility could be enhanced by incorporating more direct data, expert opinions, and source citations.
While the article is generally well-written and accessible, it could benefit from a more balanced representation of perspectives and a clearer explanation of the basis for its claims. Overall, the article provides valuable insights into the role of perception in shaping behavior, but it would be strengthened by a more robust presentation of evidence and analysis.
RATING DETAILS
The article presents several factual claims that are mostly accurate but require verification. For instance, it mentions a drop in the percentage of Americans who believe airline travel is safe, citing an AP-NORC Center poll. This poll data would need to be cross-referenced for accuracy. Additionally, the article states that Google searches for 'is flying safe' have peaked, which can be verified through Google Trends.
The historical references, such as the decline in airline passengers post-9/11 and the increase in car fatalities, are plausible but need supporting data to confirm their accuracy. The claim about increased airport security and the lack of terrorist attacks since 9/11 aligns with known facts, but specific data on security measures could strengthen this point.
The article's comparison of current fears with past events like shark attacks and the 1973 toilet paper shortage is illustrative but requires historical data verification. Overall, the story's claims are plausible, but the lack of direct citations or data references slightly undermines its factual accuracy.
The article primarily presents one perspective: that public perception often diverges from reality, especially concerning airline safety. While this viewpoint is valid, the article does not explore alternative perspectives in depth, such as reasons why people might have legitimate concerns about flying safety.
There is a slight bias towards downplaying current fears by comparing them to historical events that were perceived as overblown. This approach may lead to an imbalance, as it does not fully consider the nuances of current safety concerns or recent incidents that may have contributed to public anxiety.
Including voices or data from aviation experts, safety analysts, or passengers with differing views could have provided a more balanced representation of the issue.
The article is well-written and easy to understand, using clear language and logical structure. It effectively communicates the main point that public perception often diverges from reality, using historical examples to illustrate this theme.
The article's tone is neutral and informative, making it accessible to a general audience. The use of examples like the 1973 toilet paper shortage and shark attacks adds interest and helps clarify the article's argument.
However, the article could improve clarity by providing more detailed explanations or data for some of its claims, which would help readers better understand the context and relevance of the examples used.
The article references an AP-NORC Center poll and Google Trends data, which are credible sources. However, it lacks direct citations or links to these sources, which would enhance its reliability.
The historical examples, such as the post-9/11 travel changes and the 1973 toilet paper shortage, are presented without specific sources or data, which weakens the article's authority. Including expert opinions or data from authoritative aviation or historical sources would have improved the source quality.
Overall, the article relies on general knowledge and anecdotal evidence, which, while informative, does not provide the depth of source quality expected in a rigorous news analysis.
The article lacks transparency in terms of disclosing the sources of its data and claims. While it references a poll and mentions Google Trends, it does not provide direct links or detailed methodology, which would help readers understand the basis of these claims.
The historical comparisons are presented without context or source references, which reduces transparency. The article would benefit from explaining how these examples were selected and their relevance to the current situation.
Overall, the article could improve transparency by clearly citing sources, explaining methodologies, and providing context for its claims and comparisons.
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