List shows 2025 hurricane risk by state. See MA's chance of getting hit by a hurricane

Yahoo! News - Apr 9th, 2025
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Colorado State University forecasts another active Atlantic hurricane season in 2025, predicting up to 17 storms, with nine expected to become hurricanes. The forecast suggests a 40% chance that at least one storm could impact Massachusetts, with a higher likelihood of storms affecting the Gulf Coast. The presence of unusually warm Atlantic waters and the absence of an El Niño are key factors contributing to the anticipated busy season. Comparatively, Florida faces a 92% storm chance and a 65% hurricane chance.

The forecast signifies potential threats to New England, which hasn't seen a hurricane make landfall since 1991, though recent years have experienced tropical cyclones. The warm Atlantic conditions, coupled with likely ENSO-neutral conditions, suggest an above-average season ahead. With the 2024 hurricane season being the deadliest since 2005, the 2025 predictions raise concerns about preparedness and resilience, especially in regions like New England, which historically have lower probabilities of direct hurricane impacts.

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RATING

7.4
Fair Story
Consider it well-founded

The article provides a comprehensive overview of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast, drawing on predictions from reputable sources like Colorado State University and AccuWeather. It effectively communicates the expected number of storms and potential impacts on various states, making it a valuable resource for those in hurricane-prone areas. The article is timely and addresses a topic of high public interest, offering actionable information for personal and community preparedness.

While the article is generally accurate and clear, it could improve by incorporating more direct citations or links to the forecasts it references. This would enhance transparency and allow readers to verify the information independently. Additionally, the inclusion of perspectives from other meteorological institutions, such as NOAA, and a discussion of potential controversies related to hurricane forecasting and climate change would provide a more balanced and comprehensive view.

Overall, the article succeeds in informing and engaging its audience, but there is room for improvement in terms of source attribution, balance, and exploration of related debates. Its focus on factual and scientific information minimizes potential controversy, but it could benefit from a broader discussion of the factors influencing hurricane predictions and preparedness strategies.

RATING DETAILS

8
Accuracy

The story accurately reports the predictions for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, citing forecasts from Colorado State University and AccuWeather. It mentions specific numbers for expected storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes, which align with known forecasts. The article also accurately describes the factors contributing to an active season, such as warm Atlantic waters and ENSO-neutral conditions, as confirmed by meteorological sources.

However, there are areas needing verification, such as the exact probabilities of storm impacts on specific states like Massachusetts and Rhode Island. While the article provides these figures, cross-referencing with official sources is necessary to ensure precision. Additionally, the historical context regarding past hurricane seasons, such as the 2024 season's impact, needs verification against official records to confirm accuracy.

The article's factual claims are generally supported by reputable sources like Colorado State University, known for its expertise in meteorological predictions. However, the absence of direct citations or links to these forecasts within the article itself limits immediate verifiability for readers.

7
Balance

The article presents a balanced overview of the hurricane season forecast by including predictions from multiple sources, such as Colorado State University and AccuWeather. This inclusion of diverse expert opinions helps provide a well-rounded perspective on the expected hurricane activity.

However, the article could improve balance by incorporating more perspectives from other meteorological institutions, such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which is mentioned but not detailed. Including NOAA's perspective would offer a more comprehensive view of the forecast landscape.

The article focuses primarily on the scientific and probabilistic aspects of the hurricane season without delving into potential societal impacts or differing opinions on preparedness. Including viewpoints from emergency management officials or local government representatives could enhance the article's balance by addressing how communities are preparing for the forecasted activity.

8
Clarity

The article is generally clear and well-structured, with a logical flow of information. It begins with the main forecast for the hurricane season and then delves into specific predictions for different states, making it easy for readers to follow the progression of information.

The language used is straightforward and accessible, making complex meteorological concepts understandable to a general audience. The article effectively communicates the significance of the forecasts and their potential impacts without resorting to technical jargon.

However, the article could improve clarity by providing more context for terms like ENSO-neutral conditions and their implications for hurricane activity. Brief explanations or definitions of such terms would aid readers who may not be familiar with meteorological terminology.

8
Source quality

The article primarily relies on reputable sources such as Colorado State University and AccuWeather, both of which are well-regarded in the field of meteorology. These sources are known for their expertise in hurricane forecasting, lending credibility to the predictions presented in the article.

However, the article would benefit from more explicit attribution, such as direct quotes or links to the specific forecasts. This would enhance the transparency and reliability of the information provided. Additionally, including input from NOAA, which is a major authority in weather forecasting, would further bolster the article's credibility.

Overall, the article's reliance on authoritative sources suggests a high level of source quality, but the lack of direct citations or detailed attribution slightly diminishes its perceived reliability.

6
Transparency

The article provides some context for the hurricane season predictions, such as the role of warm Atlantic waters and ENSO-neutral conditions. However, it lacks detailed explanations of the methodologies used by the forecasting institutions, which would help readers understand the basis for the predictions.

The article mentions several forecasts but does not provide direct links or references to the original reports. This lack of linkage limits the transparency of the information and makes it more challenging for readers to verify the claims independently.

Additionally, the article does not disclose any potential conflicts of interest or biases that might affect the forecasts. Greater transparency in these areas would enhance the article's trustworthiness and allow readers to better assess the impartiality of the information presented.

Sources

  1. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast/
  2. https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2025-04.pdf
  3. https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/hurricane-season-forecast-2025/1757562
  4. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Atlantic_hurricane_season
  5. https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html