Kamala Harris is double-digit favorite to win 2028 Democratic Party nomination: poll

New York Post - Mar 22nd, 2025
Open on New York Post

Former Vice President Kamala Harris has emerged as the leading candidate for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, as indicated by a Morning Consult poll that reflects 36% support from Democratic voters and Democratic-leaning independents. Despite her significant lead over potential competitors, such as former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who received only 10% support, Harris has not yet confirmed any intentions to run for the presidency again. Her previous 2024 presidential campaign ended in a defeat to President Trump, where she lost both the popular vote and the Electoral College.

In the aftermath of her 2024 loss, Harris is reportedly considering a gubernatorial run in California in 2026, aiming to take over from the termed-out Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom. The poll also revealed other potential candidates for the 2028 Democratic nomination, including New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, and “Shark Tank” star Mark Cuban. The story highlights Harris's resilience in political circles and suggests that despite past setbacks, she remains a significant figure in the Democratic Party with potential future aspirations, reflecting the shifting dynamics and preferences within the party.

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RATING

6.8
Fair Story
Consider it well-founded

The article provides a timely and mostly accurate overview of Kamala Harris's standing in the early 2028 Democratic primary polls. It effectively communicates her lead and potential future political plans while maintaining clarity and readability. However, the story could benefit from greater transparency regarding the polling methodology and additional sources to corroborate claims, particularly regarding fundraising figures. The article's balance is somewhat skewed towards Harris, with less focus on other candidates' perspectives and plans. While it engages readers interested in political developments, its impact could be enhanced through deeper analysis and exploration of controversial topics. Overall, the article offers valuable insights into the evolving political landscape, but there is room for improvement in source quality and transparency.

RATING DETAILS

8
Accuracy

The article accurately reports on Kamala Harris's lead in the 2028 Democratic primary poll, with 36% support, which aligns with the Morning Consult poll results. Pete Buttigieg's position as her closest competitor with 10% support is also correctly stated. The article's claim about Harris losing the 2024 election to Trump is consistent with known outcomes. However, the specific fundraising amount mentioned needs verification, as the article states Harris raised over a billion dollars, which is plausible but not confirmed in detail. Overall, the story's factual claims are mostly supported by available data, but some details, like fundraising specifics, require further corroboration.

7
Balance

The article presents a balanced view of the Democratic primary landscape by mentioning multiple candidates and their respective poll standings. It highlights Harris's lead while also acknowledging other candidates like Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. However, the focus on Harris's potential future political moves might overshadow other candidates' plans, suggesting a slight imbalance in coverage. The article could benefit from more in-depth exploration of the broader Democratic field and varying perspectives on the candidates' potential.

8
Clarity

The article is generally clear and well-structured, with a straightforward presentation of the poll results and the political landscape. It effectively communicates the main points without excessive jargon or complex language. The narrative flows logically from Harris's current standing to her potential future plans, making it easy for readers to follow. However, the article could benefit from more explicit connections between the poll data and the implications for the 2028 election, which would enhance reader understanding of the broader political context.

6
Source quality

The article references a Morning Consult poll, a reputable source for political polling data, which adds credibility to its claims about candidate standings. However, other sources or expert opinions are not cited, limiting the depth of analysis. The story would benefit from additional authoritative sources to corroborate claims about Harris's fundraising and potential political plans. Including a wider range of sources would enhance the reliability and depth of the reporting.

5
Transparency

The article lacks detailed transparency regarding the methodology of the Morning Consult poll, such as sample size and margin of error, which are crucial for understanding the poll's reliability. Additionally, while it mentions Harris's potential political plans, it doesn't disclose how this information was obtained, whether through direct statements or speculation. Greater transparency about the sources of information and the basis for claims would improve the article's credibility and allow readers to assess the context and potential biases more effectively.

Sources

  1. https://www.mediaite.com/politics/kamala-harris-picked-as-democrats-runaway-2028-favorite-in-new-poll/
  2. https://gopillinois.com/tag/old/
  3. https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/poll-kamala-harris-democrats/2025/03/21/id/1203866/
  4. https://gopillinois.com/tag/dupage/
  5. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/2028/national/