Does The Sun Cause Earthquakes?

Forbes - Mar 5th, 2025
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A new study by researchers from the University of Tsukuba and the National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology in Japan suggests a potential link between the Sun's heat influx and seismic activities on Earth. Using mathematical and computational methods, the researchers found that including Earth's surface temperatures in their models improved the accuracy of forecasting shallow earthquakes. Lead author Matheus Henrique Junqueira Saldanha explains that solar heat affects atmospheric temperatures, which can influence rock properties and underground water movement, making areas more prone to earthquakes. Although the effect is small and not the primary driver of earthquakes, it offers new insights into earthquake modeling and forecasting.

The study, titled "The role of solar heat in earthquake activity," was published in the journal Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science. While the findings are promising, scientists still cannot predict the exact timing or magnitude of earthquakes. However, the research contributes to a better understanding of seismic risks, which is crucial for developing earthquake-resistant infrastructure. The study highlights the importance of considering various factors in earthquake modeling to improve regional risk assessments and inform investments in building resilience.

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RATING

6.8
Fair Story
Consider it well-founded

The article provides an intriguing exploration of a novel hypothesis linking solar activity to earthquakes, supported by recent research from reputable institutions. Its strengths lie in the clarity of its presentation and the timeliness of the topic, which is relevant to ongoing debates about earthquake prediction and disaster preparedness. The article effectively communicates complex scientific concepts in an accessible manner, making it engaging for a wide audience.

However, the article could improve by incorporating a broader range of perspectives, particularly from independent experts, to provide a more balanced view of the scientific debate. Additionally, greater transparency regarding the study's methodology and potential limitations would enhance its credibility. While the article touches on a potentially controversial topic, it maintains a neutral tone and avoids sensationalism, contributing to its overall readability and reliability.

RATING DETAILS

7
Accuracy

The article presents several factual claims that are generally accurate but require further verification. For instance, the statement that one out of three people is exposed to earthquakes, and that this number has nearly doubled in the past 40 years, is a significant claim that needs demographic and seismic data verification. The basic science of earthquakes as described is accurate and widely accepted, providing a solid foundation.

The article discusses a new study linking solar heat influx to seismic activity, which is a novel claim supported by recent research. However, this hypothesis is still under investigation, and the article appropriately notes the effect's small magnitude and its role as a potential, rather than primary, factor. The claim about improved forecasting accuracy when including surface temperatures is intriguing but requires validation through peer-reviewed studies.

Overall, the article is mostly accurate in its portrayal of scientific understanding and ongoing research, but it could benefit from more explicit references to the studies it mentions to enhance verifiability.

6
Balance

The article presents the perspective of the researchers from the University of Tsukuba and the National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, focusing predominantly on their study. While it provides a new angle on earthquake research, it lacks a broader range of perspectives, such as those from other experts in seismology who might offer differing views or additional context.

The article does mention other exotic factors that have been studied in relation to earthquakes, which adds some balance by acknowledging the complexity of earthquake triggers. However, it could be improved by including opinions from independent researchers or critics who might question the study's conclusions or methodology. This would provide a more comprehensive view of the scientific debate surrounding the topic.

8
Clarity

The article is generally clear and well-structured, making it accessible to a broad audience. It begins with a compelling introduction that sets the stage for the discussion on the potential link between solar activity and earthquakes. The language is straightforward, and the article logically progresses from explaining basic earthquake science to introducing the new study.

The use of quotes from the lead author helps clarify complex scientific concepts, such as how solar heat might influence seismic activity. However, the article could benefit from a more detailed explanation of the scientific terms and processes mentioned, such as 'strain energy' and 'rock properties,' to enhance reader comprehension. Overall, the article maintains a neutral tone and effectively communicates the research findings.

7
Source quality

The article cites a study from reputable institutions, the University of Tsukuba and the National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, which lends credibility to the claims made. The study's publication in a peer-reviewed journal, 'Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science,' further supports its reliability.

However, the article could enhance its source quality by providing direct links to the study and including comments from other experts in the field. While it mentions the American Institute of Physics, additional attribution to specific researchers or experts could strengthen the article's authority and provide a more robust basis for the claims presented.

6
Transparency

The article does a fair job of explaining the context and methodology of the research it discusses, such as the use of mathematical and computational methods to analyze data. However, it lacks detailed transparency about the study's limitations, potential conflicts of interest, or funding sources, which are crucial for assessing impartiality.

The article could improve transparency by clearly stating the study's methodology and any assumptions made in the research. It would also benefit from disclosing any potential biases or conflicts of interest that might affect the findings. Providing more insight into the researchers' affiliations and motivations would help readers better understand the context and reliability of the study.

Sources

  1. https://www.astronomy.com/science/powerful-eruptions-on-the-sun-might-trigger-earthquakes/
  2. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2025/03/250304113817.htm
  3. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/do-solar-flares-or-magnetic-storms-space-weather-cause-earthquakes
  4. https://scitechdaily.com/the-suns-hidden-influence-on-earthquakes-new-research-uncovers-a-surprising-link/
  5. https://thedebrief.org/is-solar-activity-driving-earthquakes-new-research-suggests-a-correlation-between-the-sun-and-seismic-events/