China will struggle to survive a protracted battle with the US and the West

China's Ministry of Commerce issued a stark warning following President Trump's suggestion that countries may need to choose between the United States and China. This comes amid plans by the Trump administration to prevent China from bypassing tariffs by transshipping exports through third countries. China's response was unequivocal, promising reciprocal countermeasures if such actions were implemented. This confrontation highlights a broader conflict, suggesting a new Cold War as both nations push the rest of the world to take sides. The economic stakes are high, with significant portions of both economies reliant on trade with each other. China's manufacturing sector, employing millions, is particularly vulnerable, while the US faces rising consumer prices and supply chain challenges.
This trade conflict is part of a larger geopolitical struggle, as China attempts to shift global alliances, notably in the European Union, away from US influence. The Trump administration's strategy aims to leverage America's economic position to address China's trade practices but risks alienating allies. The outcome of this standoff could reshape the global economy and geopolitical landscape. President Trump must broaden the narrative beyond trade, presenting the Chinese Communist Party as an existential threat to garner domestic and international support. As the US and China remain locked in this high-stakes power play, the world watches to see which nation will gain the upper hand.
RATING
The article provides a comprehensive overview of the current tensions between the US and China, focusing on economic and geopolitical strategies. Its strengths lie in its timely discussion of relevant global issues and its clear articulation of complex dynamics. However, the analysis is somewhat limited by a lack of direct sourcing and a predominantly US-centric perspective. While it effectively highlights the stakes involved in the US-China relationship, it could benefit from a more balanced exploration of both sides' viewpoints and more robust evidence to support its claims. Overall, the article is informative and relevant but would be strengthened by increased transparency and source diversity.
RATING DETAILS
The story provides a detailed account of the ongoing tensions between the US and China, particularly in the context of trade and global influence. It accurately reflects the strategic economic dependencies and potential political maneuvers each country might employ. For instance, the claim about China's Ministry of Commerce issuing a warning and the potential for a new Cold War are consistent with current geopolitical analyses. However, some claims, such as the specifics of President Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariff threat and the exact number of jobs in China's manufacturing sector, require further verification. The article does not provide direct sources for these claims, which affects its overall precision and verifiability.
The article predominantly presents the US perspective, emphasizing the strategic importance of leveraging economic power against China. It discusses the potential consequences for both countries but tends to frame the narrative in a way that highlights US strategies and concerns. The Chinese perspective, while mentioned, is not explored in depth, particularly regarding China's diplomatic efforts and internal economic strategies. This results in a somewhat imbalanced presentation that could benefit from a more nuanced exploration of both sides' viewpoints and motivations.
The article is well-structured and clearly articulates its main points, making complex geopolitical dynamics relatively easy to understand. The language is precise, and the narrative flows logically from one point to the next, effectively outlining the stakes and potential outcomes of the US-China tensions. However, the lack of direct sourcing and some assumptions made without evidence may cause confusion for readers seeking a more substantiated analysis.
The article lacks explicit citations or references to authoritative sources, which impacts its credibility. While it is written by a senior fellow at a think tank, the absence of direct quotes from official documents or statements weakens its authority. The narrative relies heavily on the author's interpretation and analysis, which, while informed, does not substitute for primary source material. This lack of diverse and robust sourcing affects the article's overall reliability.
The article does not clearly disclose the basis for many of its claims or the methodology behind its analysis. There is no indication of potential conflicts of interest or the author's affiliations that might influence the narrative. While the author's expertise is noted, the lack of transparency regarding data sources and the context behind strategic assessments makes it difficult for readers to fully assess the impartiality and validity of the claims presented.
Sources
- https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/china-is-ready-to-eat-bitterness-in-the-trade-war-what-about-the-us/
- https://www.cfr.org/event/transition-2025-series-future-us-china-relations
- https://www.carbonbrief.org/china-briefing-17-april-2025-us-china-tariff-war-ai-and-data-centres-coal-construction-till-2027/
- https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/10-conflicts-watch-2025
- https://www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/JOTA/journals/Volume-4_Issue-3/04-Reep_eng.pdf
YOU MAY BE INTERESTED IN

US and China clash over status of trade talks. Here's what to know.
Score 6.6
"It won't be that high": Trump, Bessent hint at walking back China tariffs
Score 6.6
China Tariffs: Here’s What May Cost More In The US
Score 7.6
The Nintendo Switch 2 will still cost $450 in the US, despite tariffs
Score 7.6