2025 Hurricane Season Map Shows Where Texas Could Get Hit Hardest

Newsweek - Mar 27th, 2025
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AccuWeather has released its 2025 hurricane forecast, indicating an elevated risk of direct hits from hurricanes or tropical storms for Texas, Louisiana, Florida, and North Carolina. Texas, in particular, is highlighted due to historical impacts and similar atmospheric conditions to previous devastating years. The forecast anticipates 13 to 18 named storms, with 7 to 10 potentially becoming hurricanes, and 3 to 6 making direct landfall in the U.S.

The significance of this forecast stems from past events, such as Hurricane Beryl and Tropical Storm Allison, which have caused significant destruction in Texas. The forecast serves as an early warning for residents and authorities to prepare for possible severe weather events. As additional forecasts are expected from NOAA and Colorado State University, the early alert by AccuWeather aims to heighten awareness and readiness for the 2025 hurricane season starting June 1.

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RATING

6.2
Moderately Fair
Read with skepticism

The article provides timely and relevant information about the 2025 hurricane season, focusing on the increased risk for states like Texas. It draws on credible sources, such as AccuWeather, but would benefit from including additional perspectives from other meteorological agencies to enhance balance and accuracy. While the article is clear and engaging, a factual inaccuracy regarding Hurricane Beryl and a lack of transparency in the forecasting methodology slightly undermine its reliability. Overall, the article effectively addresses public interest and has the potential to influence preparedness and policy discussions, though it could improve by offering a more comprehensive view of the topic.

RATING DETAILS

6
Accuracy

The article presents several factual claims, such as Texas being at increased risk for hurricanes in 2025 and the prediction of 13 to 18 named storms. These claims are attributed to AccuWeather, a known meteorological service, providing some level of credibility. However, the mention of Hurricane Beryl as the most recent storm to hit Texas with specific characteristics, like being an early Category 5 hurricane, appears inaccurate as there are no records of such an event. This discrepancy affects the overall accuracy of the article. Other claims, such as the use of analog years for prediction, are plausible but would benefit from additional verification against other meteorological forecasts, such as those from NOAA or Colorado State University, which were not cited in the article.

5
Balance

The article primarily relies on information from AccuWeather and statements from their meteorologist, Alex DaSilva. This creates a one-sided perspective focused on AccuWeather's forecast without incorporating insights from other meteorological agencies like NOAA or Colorado State University, which also provide hurricane season forecasts. The lack of alternative viewpoints or expert opinions limits the balance, as readers are not exposed to a broader range of scientific predictions or methodologies that could either corroborate or challenge AccuWeather's claims.

7
Clarity

The article is generally clear and well-structured, with a logical flow from the introduction of the hurricane season forecast to specific details about Texas's risk. The language is straightforward, making the content accessible to a general audience. However, the mix-up regarding Hurricane Beryl introduces some confusion, which could have been clarified with more precise language or additional context about recent hurricanes affecting Texas.

7
Source quality

AccuWeather is a reputable source in the field of meteorology, lending credibility to the article's claims. The article attributes forecasts and statements to AccuWeather's lead hurricane expert, which adds authority. However, the reliance on a single source without corroboration from other meteorological institutions weakens the overall source quality. Including perspectives from NOAA or academic meteorologists could enhance the reliability and depth of the reporting.

6
Transparency

The article provides some context for its claims, such as the use of analog years to predict storm patterns and the mention of specific past storms. However, it lacks a detailed explanation of the methodology behind AccuWeather's predictions and does not disclose any potential conflicts of interest. Greater transparency about how predictions are made and the limitations of such forecasts would help readers better assess the reliability of the information presented.

Sources

  1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlX7J4gtxnc
  2. https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/docs/TSRATLForecastDecember2025.pdf
  3. https://www.allsides.com/news/2025-03-26-1315/environment-2025-hurricane-season-map-shows-where-florida-could-get-hit-hardest
  4. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Atlantic_hurricane_season